As the year 2026 commenced, the equity market exhibited a promising outlook. Projections indicated a nearly 10% increase in corporate earnings, alongside positive and accelerating nominal GDP growth. This favorable environment was further bolstered by substantial fiscal stimulus initiatives.
While acknowledging the significant risks posed by prolonged geopolitical disruptions and potential stagflation, our primary forecast suggests a resolution to the Middle East conflict within the coming months, which should lead to a decline in energy prices. We remain vigilant in monitoring global events but maintain a cautiously optimistic stance.
Our investment philosophy, particularly for funds like Calamos Growth Fund (CGRIX) and Calamos Select Fund (CVAIX), continues to emphasize a bias towards high-quality assets. The recent market downturn has provided opportune moments to judiciously augment our holdings in positions where valuations have improved, thereby enhancing portfolio resilience and potential for future growth.