President Trump's declaration on Truth Social, just hours before a critical deadline for Tehran, revealed an agreement to suspend military actions against Iran for a fortnight. This decision, stemming from a 10-point proposal from Iran deemed a viable foundation for negotiations, marked a surprising turn in a tense standoff.
Immediately following the ceasefire announcement, stock index futures saw impressive gains. Nasdaq 100 futures jumped 3.4%, S&P 500 futures rose 2.6%, and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures climbed 2.5%, indicating a potential rally of over 1,100 points for the Dow. This upward movement reflected investor optimism for a de-escalation of tensions in the Middle East.
Conversely, the energy sector experienced a sharp downturn. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures, the American benchmark, plummeted by 16% to approximately $95 per barrel. Brent crude, the international standard, also fell significantly, by 14% to about $94. Major energy companies like Chevron (CVX) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) saw their stock prices drop by more than 5% in premarket trading, directly mirroring the fall in oil prices.
The 10-year Treasury yield, a key indicator for various loan interest rates, decreased to 4.24% from its previous close of 4.30%. Simultaneously, the U.S. dollar index, which measures the dollar's strength against a basket of currencies, declined by 1% to 98.82. These movements underscore a broader market reaction to reduced geopolitical risk.
In contrast to oil, safe-haven assets and digital currencies rallied. Gold futures rose by 3% to $4,825 an ounce, demonstrating its role as a hedge against uncertainty. Bitcoin also saw a rebound, trading around $71,800, up from its overnight low of $69,000, indicating renewed investor confidence in digital assets.
The "Magnificent Seven" technology giants, including Meta Platforms (META) and Tesla (TSLA), saw their shares rise between 2% and 5% before the market opened, leading the advancements. Airline and cruise operators also surged, with Delta Air Lines (DAL) experiencing an 8% increase ahead of its earnings report. In other news, Levi Strauss (LEVI) shares soared 12% after an optimistic revenue and profit forecast, while Constellation Brands (STZ) also posted gains before its results were announced.